The New European printed a report (I can't put a link to it because I buy the paper copy only) about the electorate last week. A professor at a university has looked at the voting figures and he said 75% of the 18-34 age group voted to remain, while the figure for the 65+ was just 35%.
He claims, and I think this is right, that 750,000 people join the 18-34 group each year while a similar number leaves the 65+ group, by dying. On this mathematical basis and assuming no one changes their mind, each year the remain side will add 300,000 to their total while the leave total will reduce the the same amount.
Thus, by 2020-1 the result will be in balance and there will then be an ever growing majority to remain in the EU. Also, in October the government announce plans to allow ex pats who have lived overseas for 15 years or more to vote. This could add between 1 and 5 million to the electorate, the majority of whom would be expected to vote remain.
And if we assume the economy is going to take a big hit soon, it would not be a surprise if some of the leavers, confronted with all the complex legal and constitutional issues, changed their mind.
It is not that hard to foresee Mrs May going to Brussels to sign the withdrawal treaty with pro Europe newspaper publishing regular polls showing a clear majority to remain. What would the PM do in these circumstances?
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