Sunday, 11 December 2016

POLLS BEGIN TO TURN

Polling from YouGov and Which (HERE) appears to show that the majority of people won't accept a brexit that leaves them worse off including half of those who voted leave in June. Only 10% of the population would accept losing up to £100 per month and these presumably are people who are so viscerally opposed to the EU they are effectively beyond persuasion.

But more importantly the poll, conducted for Open Britain also suggests that the prolonged period of uncertainty since the 23 June referendum has chipped away at the pro-Brexit majority. If a rerun of the vote were held tomorrow, remain and leave would be tied at 44% each, with 5% not voting at all and 7% undecided. Also there is an increased number of people who think they will be worse off next year because of  price rises (HERE).

So we are already at balance with all the negotiations and the economic impact to come. Things are looking up?  The Huffington Post (HERE) has an item claiming that 120,000 leave voters have already died and 126,000 young remain voters have been added since June 23rd and if you combine this with leave regretters netted off against remain regretters (amazing) there is a 52-48% majority to remain. This might be fantasy but it shows we are headed in the right direction.

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